Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 28.925430 33.378088 38.199634 43.797365 50.105736 56.983038 65.035861
2024-12-22 19.668231 25.388414 32.195281 40.839856 51.468073 64.046515 79.992234
2024-12-29 15.899422 22.408723 30.741150 42.067611 56.922161 75.584151 100.622385
2025-01-05 13.682670 20.748957 30.355138 44.152829 63.204734 88.289192 123.456346
2025-01-12 11.118230 18.061846 28.045282 43.129243 64.951776 94.914822 138.586444
2025-01-19 8.917289 15.470027 25.404017 41.138957 64.902703 98.801289 149.971204
2025-01-26 8.260071 15.115211 25.960660 43.797412 71.662497 112.613173 176.126370
2025-02-02 7.963454 15.277273 27.290617 47.705490 80.542957 130.047012 208.615716
2025-02-09 7.116725 14.359327 26.738458 48.511107 84.614192 140.495133 231.309539
2025-02-16 6.259724 13.281111 25.763673 48.470735 87.252290 148.823997 251.182178
2025-02-23 5.464801 12.187403 24.611058 47.966792 89.013456 155.792397 269.238545
2025-03-02 4.773668 11.181944 23.482047 47.354489 90.478435 162.291398 286.823686
2025-03-09 4.204173 10.374405 22.699468 47.429125 93.390268 171.783137 310.611605
2025-03-16 3.408609 8.949124 20.549680 44.747783 91.226818 172.715546 320.531214
2025-03-23 3.127188 8.618914 20.545676 46.179500 96.669538 187.056494 354.004272
2025-03-30 2.949414 8.498328 20.956441 48.463834 103.876903 204.935656 394.607680
2025-04-06 2.526156 7.692536 19.777584 47.356655 104.454386 210.947335 414.704155
2025-04-13 2.094458 6.769481 18.195036 45.195717 102.723359 212.555836 426.939072
2025-04-20 2.035250 6.837478 18.909927 48.083153 111.381942 234.028763 476.445418
2025-04-27 2.053011 7.125375 20.181855 52.324587 123.126529 261.991237 539.308714
2025-05-04 1.880587 6.827610 19.982028 53.198497 127.881545 276.791601 578.336872
2025-05-11 1.681862 6.407788 19.415901 53.154708 130.661128 287.880354 610.889687
2025-05-18 1.484746 5.947433 18.676254 52.608062 132.280789 296.728938 639.548596